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There’s a very special place in my heart for a little subgenre I like to call “historical-pornographic fiction”. “But on the other hand, in other parts of the country you are still seeing Conservatives going forward and making quite remarkable gains in places that haven’t voted Conservative for a long time, if ever.Originally posted on, now defunct. “We had a tough night in some parts of the country,” Johnson conceded to broadcasters. These are areas where, in 2019, Johnson’s Conservatives won huge support from former Labour voters who were pro-Brexit. And Labour failed to make substantial inroads in the “red wall” of northern England that would make it more competitive in the next general election. The pattern of Conservatives doing better in post-industrial towns in the north of England and Labour doing better in major cities held. The spoils were shared between Labour, the main opposition party, as well as the Liberal Democrats and the Green Party. While the ruling Tories lost ground, there wasn’t a sole beneficiary. Gavin Barwell, the former chief of staff for Johnson’s Conservative predecessor, Theresa May, called the London results “catastrophic” and said they should be a “wake-up call for the Conservative Party.” (Westminster is where Johnson cast his ballot on Thursday, with his dog, Dilyn, along for the outing.) In London, the Labour Party seized two flagship councils - the borough of Wandsworth, a Conservative stronghold that was a favorite of former prime minister Margaret Thatcher, and the borough of Westminster, which had voted Conservative since its creation in 1964. Some of those losses were in places where they had been dominant for years. “Voters will feel significant economic pain in next year or two.”Īs of Friday evening, Conservatives had lost more than 300 seats in England and suffered significant losses in Scotland, too. “Governments suffer losses and can go on to make gains, but the government is facing a very bleak economic situation,” he said.
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Still, Jennings said Conservatives can’t just shrug this off as midterm blues and hope things will improve. There were some calls at the local and regional level for Johnson to step down, but there did not appear to be a cascade of letters from Conservative lawmakers pushing for a no-confidence vote. “It hasn’t been great for the Conservatives, but it’s not yet bad enough to force them into action, so Boris lives to fight another day.” “It’s not a knock-out blow,” said Will Jennings, a politics expert at the University of Southampton. Johnson is the first sitting prime minister found to have broken the law.Īnalysts said Johnson was badly bruised, but not mortally wounded in the local elections. The government faces three ongoing investigations into boozy gatherings that flouted pandemic lockdown rules, while the prime minister was urging citizens to stay home and not mix with people from multiple households. And this was the first big test for Johnson’s Conservatives since the emergence of a cost-of-living crisis and a scandal known as “Partygate.” But these midterms are often an indicator of how the main political parties are doing. The general election isn’t until 2024, and local election turnout is often low. The Democratic Unionist Party - the main party animated by the idea that Northern Ireland should remain part of United Kingdom - has been boycotting, citing its distress over the post-Brexit trade arrangement brokered between Johnson and the European Union.Īlso being tallied Friday were the results from council and mayoral elections in England, Scotland, and Wales. The more immediate question is whether the new power-sharing executive will actually come together. “There won’t be a border poll on Irish unity soon, but there will be one day,” he said. Jonathan Tonge, a politics expert at the University of Liverpool, said the election results certainly boost the odds. Any changes to the status of Northern Ireland would require referendums on both sides of the border, and public support for a unified island isn’t yet there.īut Sinn Fein hopes it can build support over time. Katy Hayward, a political sociologist from Queen’s University Belfast, said that if the Northern Ireland legislature is “dominated by a nationalist party that wants to see, in effect, the end of Northern Ireland, it really would be symbolically significant.”Ī Sinn Fein win wouldn’t have immediate implications for unification.